San Francisco
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
71  Bridget Dahlberg SR 19:53
85  Elena Burkard SO 19:59
128  Eva Krchova SR 20:10
197  Kate Jamboretz SO 20:22
217  Sophie Curl SR 20:25
219  Maor Tiyouri SR 20:25
260  Laura Suur SR 20:31
408  Jana Soethout JR 20:48
904  Lily Englebrekt FR 21:27
1,143  Kailey Ulland JR 21:42
1,334  Daryl Phil FR 21:55
1,513  Sarah Pearson SR 22:05
1,612  Ashley Moffett FR 22:11
1,912  Sophia Volk FR 22:29
2,130  Elizabeth Schultz SO 22:44
2,202  Lauren Wilch FR 22:48
National Rank #19 of 340
West Region Rank #5 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 94.4%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Nationals


National Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 3.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 18.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 74.1%


Regional Champion 6.1%
Top 5 in Regional 88.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Bridget Dahlberg Elena Burkard Eva Krchova Kate Jamboretz Sophie Curl Maor Tiyouri Laura Suur Jana Soethout Lily Englebrekt Kailey Ulland Daryl Phil
Stanford Invitational 09/28 1122 20:25 21:24 21:46 21:37
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 501 19:50 20:26 19:52 20:05 20:31 20:29 21:34 21:40
Sacremento State Inter-Regional Jamboree 10/04 1273 21:37
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 526 19:49 20:23 20:05 20:30 20:18 20:22 20:31
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/19 1233 21:24 21:29 22:07
West Coast Conference Championships 11/02 639 19:53 20:27 20:41 20:25 20:16 21:00 21:41 22:18
West Region Championships 11/15 528 20:04 20:06 20:21 20:05 20:47 20:25 20:38
NCAA Championship 11/23 498 20:01 19:46 20:10 20:32 20:15 20:39 22:12





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 94.4% 15.8 412 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.3 2.1 2.4 2.6 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.3 5.1 5.4 5.9 7.0 6.7 7.0 5.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 3.0 2.5 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.1
Region Championship 100% 3.6 137 6.1 20.7 22.1 21.8 18.0 7.4 2.5 0.9 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bridget Dahlberg 94.6% 67.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Elena Burkard 94.4% 82.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Eva Krchova 94.4% 110.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kate Jamboretz 94.4% 146.1
Sophie Curl 94.4% 155.2
Maor Tiyouri 94.4% 154.7
Laura Suur 94.4% 172.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bridget Dahlberg 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.9 3.6 5.5 7.1 8.6 8.6 7.7 7.3 6.1 5.4 4.4 3.9 3.4 2.9 1.9 2.0 2.3 1.6
Elena Burkard 17.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.4 3.4 5.4 6.4 7.2 6.1 5.9 5.5 4.9 5.0 4.3 4.3 3.5 3.6 2.6 2.5
Eva Krchova 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.5 1.4 1.6 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.2 4.6 4.3 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.4
Kate Jamboretz 39.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8
Sophie Curl 42.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.3
Maor Tiyouri 42.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.2
Laura Suur 49.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 6.1% 100.0% 6.1 6.1 1
2 20.7% 100.0% 20.7 20.7 2
3 22.1% 100.0% 0.7 7.9 5.9 3.7 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 22.1 3
4 21.8% 99.7% 0.8 6.2 4.8 3.5 1.9 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 21.7 4
5 18.0% 95.3% 0.3 3.8 3.2 3.0 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.8 17.1 5
6 7.4% 74.9% 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.9 5.6 6
7 2.5% 34.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.6 0.9 7
8 0.9% 13.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.1 8
9 0.4% 0.4 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 94.4% 6.1 20.7 0.7 8.6 12.3 12.4 8.7 6.7 4.7 3.3 2.4 2.1 1.5 1.7 2.3 5.6 26.8 67.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Cornell 80.6% 1.0 0.8
Syracuse 75.6% 1.0 0.8
Notre Dame 74.1% 2.0 1.5
Vanderbilt 73.9% 1.0 0.7
Indiana 70.1% 1.0 0.7
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Princeton 47.8% 1.0 0.5
Harvard 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 35.7% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 33.7% 1.0 0.3
SMU 33.5% 1.0 0.3
Boston College 31.0% 1.0 0.3
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
BYU 9.3% 3.0 0.3
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 8.2
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 15.0